tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1209670742820403516.post5214229605093698139..comments2024-02-24T06:10:42.255-08:00Comments on Congo Siasa: Rwandan troops in the Kivus?Jason Stearnshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/11454449854081540397noreply@blogger.comBlogger5125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1209670742820403516.post-21715179716902445362010-09-30T06:54:20.188-07:002010-09-30T06:54:20.188-07:00Hi,
The rumour over Rwandan troops crossing into...Hi, <br /><br />The rumour over Rwandan troops crossing into Rutsuhuru and Masisi raises some questions. <br /><br />First, does one battalion (as said in the rumour I heard) is strong enough to challenge ex-CNDP and ensure their rellocation to other provinces. Redeployment seems to be the main argument behind the Rwandan intervention. However, virtually no ex-CNDP would accept to be redeployed out of the Kivus. Which could even reconcile the different branches of CNDP. There has apparently been some discussion between Makenga and Bosco in July despite continued assassinations of Nkunda loyalists.<br /><br />If the rumour is (somehow) true, it means one batallion (or 2) have crossed the border through the national park. Therefore with few equipment and non mechanized. This seems light to me to put pressure on a resonably well equipped CNDP which now have access to FARDC equipment. <br /><br />Further, if Rwanda has an interest in arresting and killing some ex-CNDP linked to their opponents, they certainly don't have much interest in alienating the others and breaking its relation with CNDP.<br /><br />Another explanation could be that this rumour is used by the government to put pressure on ex-CNDP elements who are planning to oppose to the redeployment. In absence of a strong army, could be their last argument.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1209670742820403516.post-27591590508952871442010-09-29T03:55:08.144-07:002010-09-29T03:55:08.144-07:00Hello,
I agree with karl but situation now is diff...Hello,<br />I agree with karl but situation now is different form january 2009. At the moment there a lot of ex-cndp soldiers and officiers that are still loyal to Nkunda and think he still act as their leader.<br />In fact, also for david, the control of cndp for protecting interests of drc and rwanda is a msterpiece of the congo-rwanda alliance. If cndp decide to destabilise the situation they could take over the cities of bukavu and goma in few minutes without firing a bullet. And the same if they decide to destabilise kigali.<br />And the problem about CNDP is the internal division, so that's why an intervention from rwanda can arrive; exactly to prevent "disorders"andrea.trevisanhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02265132905848357937noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1209670742820403516.post-53484408652139361532010-09-25T05:20:17.559-07:002010-09-25T05:20:17.559-07:00Hello,
most would agree that when the RDF came to ...Hello,<br />most would agree that when the RDF came to the Kivus in 2009 ("Umoja Wetu") the main purpose was to ensure the ousting of Nkunda, the take-over by Bosco, and the integration of the CNDP into the FARDC. At the time, fighting the "FDLR nuisance" was certainly not that important. It would therefore not be surprising if the RDF would be invited back to the Kivus in order to accomplish other important tasks on which the two presidents might have agreed. Cheers. KarlAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1209670742820403516.post-24430275905165390392010-09-23T18:44:48.412-07:002010-09-23T18:44:48.412-07:00Hey Jason, what you metioned in the article is ver...Hey Jason, what you metioned in the article is very improtant. However,why Rwanda should help DRC to prevent CNDP pro-Nkunda group from rebelling? What is the price that Kabila has to pay for that? For the time beingl, is Rwanda still able to influence on CNDP? If so, why Rwanda has to use force?Unknownhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14959307320874300784noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1209670742820403516.post-87631388480126100282010-09-23T11:40:26.648-07:002010-09-23T11:40:26.648-07:00Hey Jason,
Looks a bit murky! A political settlem...Hey Jason, <br />Looks a bit murky! A political settlement should and must also be kept on the table since governing through dare can only work to further divide and oppose. <br />Have you heard about Abdul Ruzibiza’s death in Norway?Richhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01301460106025447019noreply@blogger.com