tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1209670742820403516.comments2024-02-24T06:10:42.255-08:00Congo SiasaJason Stearnshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/11454449854081540397noreply@blogger.comBlogger7437125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1209670742820403516.post-20695139569801752032015-10-17T02:13:33.741-07:002015-10-17T02:13:33.741-07:00Superbe commentaire. Il reste aussi a interroger l...Superbe commentaire. Il reste aussi a interroger la subjectivite politique des masses congolaises dans cet elan de reconfiguration du nuage politique vers 2016.Dave Tshimhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00475301813569266000noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1209670742820403516.post-90804742060073974142015-10-14T08:27:32.126-07:002015-10-14T08:27:32.126-07:00Bravo pour cette analyse profonde et tres pertinen...Bravo pour cette analyse profonde et tres pertinente.Est-ce bien Jason Stearns qui l'a composee ou quelqu'un d'autre.Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15128123396524117970noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1209670742820403516.post-23497154176822113882015-10-06T01:22:49.719-07:002015-10-06T01:22:49.719-07:00Considering the 2011 rigged elections and the curr...Considering the 2011 rigged elections and the current uncertainty regarding Kabila's step down, do you think The Carter Center & the E.U. will still send Election monitors ?Conflicttalkhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01705006699287799772noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1209670742820403516.post-6380930307015618572015-08-31T11:05:11.661-07:002015-08-31T11:05:11.661-07:00http://fremonsa.blogspot.com/2013/10/historique-de...http://fremonsa.blogspot.com/2013/10/historique-des-peuples-du-kivu-et.html#commentsFremonsahttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13899101390979909460noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1209670742820403516.post-66890085513337729922015-08-28T02:20:20.441-07:002015-08-28T02:20:20.441-07:00Thank you Sir for your insightful article. I find ...Thank you Sir for your insightful article. I find it very interesting and also sad for the Congolese people, my people to have officials that are more concerned in doing business than actually ruling this country. As a Congolese, I really hope that the next president that will come will strengthen the Comgolese institutions that will first serve the Country and its people. After reading this article, Katumbi is definitely not fit for the post. I really hope that we Congolese will determine ourselves who we want as our leaders, no criminals, Rebels or corrupt politicians anymore.Dalihttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09588372682331197405noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1209670742820403516.post-72806206075914284492015-08-15T19:16:29.329-07:002015-08-15T19:16:29.329-07:001) Why stick with the term that the law was "...1) Why stick with the term that the law was "rejected" when only one senator voted against the first time?<br /><br />2) Those people in the senate have been elected by the money they had, or other people gave them, in 2007. They are still there in 2015. Why exclude that the 29 people who were absent or who abstained at the first vote, were bought or inspired by other forces who want to impose the agenda that is also openly supported by the USA-government and the European Union? Its to say to postpone the local elections and give priority to the presidential elections.<br /><br />3) Why exclude the possibility that some of those 29 senators were not present at the first vote for practical reasons, maybe trusting that there colleagues would vote for the law anyway?<br /><br />4) Why not even mention the possibility that some people who were absent or abstained at the first vote, did so, because they want to stay senator as long as possible and they do not like the perspective of local elections who will lead to elections of new senators? <br /><br />5) When one sees the imbroglio at the Majorité Présidentielle in passed months, with changing positions and even openly contradictory positions, why assume that "extensive pressure or vote-buying" was done by the presidency and exclude that people in the MP who disagree with each other could have had heated and intense discussions among themselves?<br /><br />6) And finally: why avoid the question witch policy would be supported by the choice to postpone local elections after presidential elections? Tonyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14850495235954766334noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1209670742820403516.post-6685174816234148712015-03-27T13:41:02.616-07:002015-03-27T13:41:02.616-07:00Guillaume––absolutely. And if we diagnose this is ...Guillaume––absolutely. And if we diagnose this is just a problem of rapacious security forces, we might come up with the wrong solutions.Jason Stearnshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11454449854081540397noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1209670742820403516.post-8423867142332502262015-03-27T10:48:32.539-07:002015-03-27T10:48:32.539-07:00Excellent document, figures don't lie...may be...Excellent document, figures don't lie...may be. GBV is a social issue and problem that has to be comprehensively adress. lot of actors think that it is more convenient to blame security forces and that some training to PNC and FARDC will solve it.<br />I used to be protection officier in Norther Ituri, Djugu territory, heavily affected by GBV. But less than 4% of acts committed by official in uniform (pnc + fardc). Difficult to have the figure endorsed by Protection Cluster event if I had the only INGO active on the ground. Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03103476139198704497noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1209670742820403516.post-18675632290394915792015-03-12T17:49:43.284-07:002015-03-12T17:49:43.284-07:00There are many points to argue in this podcast. Fo...There are many points to argue in this podcast. For brevity I will just point out something Simone said. Towards the end she says FDLR leaders are playing "a political game" and they "destabilize the region." The conversation is implicitly oriented in favor of the Rwandan government- and their position is presented as legitimate. Returnees must come back only as individuals, etc. etc. So people who have survived RPF massacres should just submit to the same authority that killed their relatives and friends? People are leaving Rwanda all the time (every day?) to escape torture, death, prison, etc. I've talked to many Rwandan refugees and exiles and they have "legitimate" political grievances and they are not genocidaires either. Yes Rwanda has a "democratically elected" government favored by the "international community"- in practice that is a joke to many refugeesUnknownhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02789963522143224303noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1209670742820403516.post-62958233510346265462015-03-06T06:20:03.370-08:002015-03-06T06:20:03.370-08:00Thanks for the interesting podcastThanks for the interesting podcastNotYetRegisteredhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13266836679775938183noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1209670742820403516.post-75265016657625238192015-03-06T06:19:47.742-08:002015-03-06T06:19:47.742-08:00Thanks for the interesting podcast, Mr. Stearns.Thanks for the interesting podcast, Mr. Stearns.NotYetRegisteredhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13266836679775938183noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1209670742820403516.post-59676893828154478782015-03-03T01:05:08.261-08:002015-03-03T01:05:08.261-08:00Let youth attend massively in this event.Let youth attend massively in this event.PromotingYouthEducationhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17991859574226432199noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1209670742820403516.post-60581735044157573532015-01-23T05:45:37.628-08:002015-01-23T05:45:37.628-08:00Amy new analysis, now that the Senate has voted?Amy new analysis, now that the Senate has voted?naamahttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04356503052870937926noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1209670742820403516.post-11485449234951835822014-11-11T11:38:50.888-08:002014-11-11T11:38:50.888-08:00I completely agree with Jason on the M23 analysis....I completely agree with Jason on the M23 analysis. I don't think the M23 has the capacity of regrouping and mounting large-scale attacks without the backing of Rwanda or Uganda. Even with the backing of Rwanda they'll don't have the capacity of confronting the FARC and their allies .But until we see regime change mostly in RWANDA, we will continue to see attempt by the KAGAME junta to destabilise the region. after 2 decades regime changes are long overdue in this region. First in Rwanda ,followed by Uganda and the DRC. We can't have the same prayers playing the same games over and over again and expect a different result.congo manhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10281097988239620048noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1209670742820403516.post-69323388350407183982014-11-11T11:23:43.229-08:002014-11-11T11:23:43.229-08:00@Ann Garrison, I completely agree with you on the ...@Ann Garrison, I completely agree with you on the ADF situation.most of this recent attacks look more like a work of some local former warlords with ties to the UPDF or RDF .i will agree with Jason .yes maybe the so called ADF does exist but if they are oparating very close to the UGANDAN boarder and always escape to The Ugandan side after avery attack,we will also be seing similar low level attacks within Uganda since they supposedly have the capacity to operate within both the DRC and Ugandan areas.<br />_If this is an Islamic movement with links to Alshebab ...Fighting to establish an Islamic State in Uganda, why will they spend Years attacking Congoleles villagers instead of attacking Ugandan institutions?like all other Islamic terror movements i will expect this guys to be llaunching big or small scale terror attacks against Ugandan institutions and use it for propaganda and recruitment like all other Islamist terror movements and their leaders arested and paraded on Ugandan state TV ...But all we see is some congolese villagers being murdered buy a group called ADF.until we start seing attacks inside uganda and someone claiming responsability for them and not just a gost ,i will continue to daout the existence of this group.<br />congo manhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10281097988239620048noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1209670742820403516.post-26804464696743642612014-11-10T13:13:51.331-08:002014-11-10T13:13:51.331-08:00Perhaps, although that's not what most of my s...Perhaps, although that's not what most of my sources suggest. I would caution against any quick conclusions here––the ADF does exist, it has been very active in the region recently and is often very brutal. There are a lot of contradictory hypotheses about who carried out the massacres and why, and I don't think all the facts are in, yet. Jason Stearnshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11454449854081540397noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1209670742820403516.post-60243075103175332262014-11-10T12:24:09.206-08:002014-11-10T12:24:09.206-08:00RE: "It is more likely that they would try t...RE: "It is more likely that they would try to destabilize the Congolese government and shame its army and the United Nations with small, sporadic attacks, possibly under the guise of other armed groups, compounding the already fragile security situation."<br /><br />Isn't it possible that that is what the reported return of the ADF is? Aljazeera reports that they have been unable to make contact or otherwise confirm that the militia which has most recently killed Congolese villagers in Beni are indeed ADF fighters, and the return of the ADF, after many years of inactivity, always seemed implausible. Other sources report that information about these fighters is very sketchy. Ann Garrisonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07763740577715213433noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1209670742820403516.post-70661685343585806792014-11-03T11:35:45.298-08:002014-11-03T11:35:45.298-08:00Thanks, Ivan. I hadn't been aware.Thanks, Ivan. I hadn't been aware. Jason Stearnshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11454449854081540397noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1209670742820403516.post-12063946856938160372014-10-31T14:11:57.249-07:002014-10-31T14:11:57.249-07:00I wonder if MP's calculations have just change...I wonder if MP's calculations have just changed after Burkina Faso's development. My take is that no one want to be prosecute by the ICC for shooting at civilians. blaisehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10271081481475980902noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1209670742820403516.post-5743842482292348672014-10-27T17:12:09.826-07:002014-10-27T17:12:09.826-07:00Yes, welcome back! Good to see you after such a lo...Yes, welcome back! Good to see you after such a long silence!Bridgithttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08698303908984462570noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1209670742820403516.post-3214403069675765552014-10-26T01:59:03.060-07:002014-10-26T01:59:03.060-07:00Hi Jason, Welcome back.Hi Jason, Welcome back.congo manhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10281097988239620048noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1209670742820403516.post-67138683068517909542014-10-26T01:42:16.966-07:002014-10-26T01:42:16.966-07:00All those presidents came to power by military cou...All those presidents came to power by military coup,war or assassinations .among all the Countries cited here ,only Burundi and the DRC have a semblance of some kind of democracy where a real opposition exist and can mount a challenge to any attempt by the president to amend the constitution. In the situation of Rwanda ,Congo Brazza and Burkina Faso ,those are absolute dictatorships with almost non existent opposition. KAGAME,SASU NGUESO and BLAISE COMPAORE are all ruthless dictators who will never allow any peaceful challenge to their rules and changing their hand written so called constitutions is as easy to them as writing a check. and anyone who dare challenge them will found themselves in prison or dead.<br /><br />congo manhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10281097988239620048noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1209670742820403516.post-82642025505678967782014-10-25T09:05:36.328-07:002014-10-25T09:05:36.328-07:00In Benin the sitting president is still trying but...In Benin the sitting president is still trying but so far he has failed:<br /><br />http://www.afriquinfos.com/articles/2014/10/24/benin-possibilite-revoir-constitution-rejetee-nouveau-260363.aspIvanhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00141683709784241587noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1209670742820403516.post-58214500624709666702014-08-05T11:42:56.634-07:002014-08-05T11:42:56.634-07:00very nice fresh and content, please keep writing! ...very nice fresh and content, please keep writing! cheers !!<br /><br /><a href="http://mumbaihotcollection.com" rel="nofollow">Mumbai Escorts</a><br /><a href="http://mumbaihotcollection.com/services.html" rel="nofollow">Escorts in Mumbai</a><br /><a href="http://mumbaihotcollection.com/gallery.html" rel="nofollow">Mumbai Escort</a>Riya Jacobhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01950016029255721918noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1209670742820403516.post-30576667078324971932014-08-05T07:39:06.320-07:002014-08-05T07:39:06.320-07:00I read Your Article Very Good Post You Share
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