Monday, May 23, 2011

Updated election registration figures

The election commission just published the latest registration figures. Bas Congo and Maniema, where registration has been completed with 1,4 million and 874,000 respectively, are not on this list.

Note that two Congolese human rights groups - including Asadho, one of the oldest in the country - came out today in support of a postponement of elections, arguing that it will be impossible to hold the polls by November 28th and a mad rush to do just that might end up in botched elections. This comes after Crisis Group made a similar argument a month ago. The Congolese groups say that we might need anywhere between one and two years more to hold decent polls.




Province
Katanga
Kasaï
Occidental
Bandundu
Equateur
Kasaï
Oriental
Province
Orientale
Nord Kivu
Sud Kivu
Kinshasa
Total
Voters expected
4.241.326
2.457.453
3.555.702
3.584.982
2.437.108
3.927.123
2.968.297
2.009.336
3.573.399
28.754.726
Voters registered
3.304.396
2.003.047
1.728.929
1.756.536
1.569.143
1.764.585
1.354.724
1.007.750
293.115
14.782.225
Registration centers
778
675
910
922
927
772
286
305
543
6.118
Accredited observers
1.136
524
1.090
374
2.378
339
1.062
1.074
918
8.895
Accredited witnesses
7.527
5.716
2.601
2.978
4.005
3.848
1.594
2.504
      1.154
31.927
Accredited journalists
199
76
90
85
162
87
56
95
13
863
Dates of operations
9 march to 6 June 2011
2 April to 1 July 2011
7 May to 5 July 2011

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3 comments:

  1. RichMay 24, 2011 at 4:09 AM

    Jason -

    Maniema and Bas-Congo are missing from the table, is this because they have already completed the registration?

    The rounded figures I got from Mulunda's recent speech at CSIS gave 1487000 registered for Bas-Congo and 874000 registered for Maniema making the total of registered so far to 17143225 out of almost 31114726 Expected to register or 55.1% registered with almost one more month to go (early July 2011) for 7 provinces.

    I may be wrong but it seems, to me, like the target for the number of voters expected to register can be reached. Now only God knows how those registered will cast their ballots let alone how some would want to present that...

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  2. TonyMay 24, 2011 at 9:09 PM

    If we say these were the results at 20th may, 81% of the 90 days for registration were expired. For Katanga 78% of the votes were obtained, for Kasai Occidentale 81% of the votes were obtained. For the other provinces (except Kinshasa) 53% of the registration-time was expired. The results are not much under this percentage: Bandundu 48%, Equateur 48%, Kasai Orientale 64%, Prov orientale 44%, N)Kivu: 45%, S-Kivu:50%
    It seems to me that the registrationprocess will succeed. More : there will be 20% more voters registred then in 2006. Is this correct?

    ReplyDelete
  3. RichMay 25, 2011 at 4:24 AM

    Tony -

    You are right, if we base our estimation from the CENI projections, there should be almost 20% increase in the number of potential voters in 2011 when compared to 2006.

    Yes I also think, if things (registration) continue to progress at the current rate, the target ( registering the expected number of potential voters) can be met by the end of the registration process (early July).

    Sorry for the delay about the election budget (money pledged Vs money paid by both the DRC Govt & CENI partners), I think Jason is still looking into it.

    ReplyDelete