Note that two Congolese human rights groups - including Asadho, one of the oldest in the country - came out today in support of a postponement of elections, arguing that it will be impossible to hold the polls by November 28th and a mad rush to do just that might end up in botched elections. This comes after Crisis Group made a similar argument a month ago. The Congolese groups say that we might need anywhere between one and two years more to hold decent polls.
| Province | Katanga | Kasaï Occidental | Bandundu | Equateur | Kasaï Oriental | Province Orientale | Nord Kivu | Sud Kivu | Kinshasa | Total |
| Voters expected | 4.241.326 | 2.457.453 | 3.555.702 | 3.584.982 | 2.437.108 | 3.927.123 | 2.968.297 | 2.009.336 | 3.573.399 | 28.754.726 |
| Voters registered | 3.304.396 | 2.003.047 | 1.728.929 | 1.756.536 | 1.569.143 | 1.764.585 | 1.354.724 | 1.007.750 | 293.115 | 14.782.225 |
| Registration centers | 778 | 675 | 910 | 922 | 927 | 772 | 286 | 305 | 543 | 6.118 |
| Accredited observers | 1.136 | 524 | 1.090 | 374 | 2.378 | 339 | 1.062 | 1.074 | 918 | 8.895 |
| Accredited witnesses | 7.527 | 5.716 | 2.601 | 2.978 | 4.005 | 3.848 | 1.594 | 2.504 | 1.154 | 31.927 |
| Accredited journalists | 199 | 76 | 90 | 85 | 162 | 87 | 56 | 95 | 13 | 863 |
| Dates of operations | 9 march to 6 June 2011 | 2 April to 1 July 2011 | 7 May to 5 July 2011 | | ||||||
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3 comments:
Jason -
Maniema and Bas-Congo are missing from the table, is this because they have already completed the registration?
The rounded figures I got from Mulunda's recent speech at CSIS gave 1487000 registered for Bas-Congo and 874000 registered for Maniema making the total of registered so far to 17143225 out of almost 31114726 Expected to register or 55.1% registered with almost one more month to go (early July 2011) for 7 provinces.
I may be wrong but it seems, to me, like the target for the number of voters expected to register can be reached. Now only God knows how those registered will cast their ballots let alone how some would want to present that...
If we say these were the results at 20th may, 81% of the 90 days for registration were expired. For Katanga 78% of the votes were obtained, for Kasai Occidentale 81% of the votes were obtained. For the other provinces (except Kinshasa) 53% of the registration-time was expired. The results are not much under this percentage: Bandundu 48%, Equateur 48%, Kasai Orientale 64%, Prov orientale 44%, N)Kivu: 45%, S-Kivu:50%
It seems to me that the registrationprocess will succeed. More : there will be 20% more voters registred then in 2006. Is this correct?
Tony -
You are right, if we base our estimation from the CENI projections, there should be almost 20% increase in the number of potential voters in 2011 when compared to 2006.
Yes I also think, if things (registration) continue to progress at the current rate, the target ( registering the expected number of potential voters) can be met by the end of the registration process (early July).
Sorry for the delay about the election budget (money pledged Vs money paid by both the DRC Govt & CENI partners), I think Jason is still looking into it.
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